PENGARUH PRODUKSI DAN LUAS AREAL KELAPA SAWIT TERHADAP NILAI EKSPOR CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA KE BELANDA PERIODE 2006–2025

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effects of palm oil production and oil palm plantation area on the export value of Indonesian Crude Palm Oil (CPO) to the Netherlands during the 2006–2025 period. This research employs a quantitative approach using annual secondary data obtained from relevant statistical sources. The independent variables are palm oil production and oil palm plantation area, while the dependent variable is the export value of Indonesian CPO to the Netherlands. Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression with the first difference method through SPSS. The results indicate that, partially, changes in palm oil production do not have a statistically significant effect on changes in CPO export value to the Netherlands, with a significance value of 0.454. Changes in oil palm plantation area also do not have a statistically significant effect, with a significance value of 0.732. Simultaneously, both variables do not have a statistically significant effect on changes in export value, with a significance value of 0.704. The coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.043 indicates that the model explains 4.3% of the variation in changes in export value, while the remaining variation is explained by factors outside the research model. These findings suggest that changes in palm oil production and plantation area do not significantly explain changes in Indonesian CPO export value to the Netherlands during the observation period.